Say this for the NBA: the last night of group play in the inaugural In-Season Tournament will be dramatic.
There are eight games left, all of which might determine who advances.
In the group stage, all teams play four games; 14 teams have already completed their schedules, and the remaining 16 teams will do so on Tuesday. Each group winner advances to the quarterfinals, and the best second-place team in each conference receives a wild-card position.
There’s a significant probability that tiebreakers will be used to distinguish teams with 3-1 (or even 2-2) records. The first tiebreaker is head-to-head, and the second is point difference, which clearly raises the chance that a team with a lead as time expires in an already-decided game will try to score more points in the last seconds.
“We’ll just focus on trying to get a win tomorrow,” said Miami coach Erik Spoelstra, whose club faces Milwaukee on Tuesday. “That is the most crucial aspect. We already know what the difference must be. You can’t go into a game with that mindset. That is not how you win against good teams.”
Only the Indiana Pacers and the Los Angeles Lakers have qualified for the quarterfinals. Both went 4-0 in group play and are guaranteed a home game when the knockout phase begins next week – either Dec. 4 or Dec. 5.
Following that, 16 teams compete for the remaining six quarterfinal slots. The simplest things to figure out are that if Milwaukee beats Miami and Sacramento beats Golden State, the Bucks and Kings will host the other two quarterfinals.
Aside than that, good luck figuring out all of the potential tiebreakers.
“I know Tuesday is complicated,” said Boston forward Jayson Tatum. “A million different things could happen.” So that (thing) is a little difficult. But I believe it’s been fantastic. It offers the players something to look forward to at the start of the season.”
The Celtics are one of the teams whose tournament fate could be decided by the point differential tiebreaker. Tatum enjoys the tournament in general, but not the tiebreaker.
“It’s all about respecting the game and respecting your opponents,” Tatum told ESPN. “So, that part, I’m not a fan of.”